Figures

Input

Diagnostics

Results

Retro

Reference points

Miscellaneous

Tables

Parameter estimates

Parameter estimates, standard errors, and confidence intervals. Rounded to 3 decimal places.
Estimate Std. Error 95% CI lower 95% CI upper
stock 1 Mean Recruitment \(2595775.654\) \(371126.082\) \(1961409.321\) \(3435311.118\)
stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) \(0.833\) \(0.102\) \(0.655\) \(1.059\)
Shrimp fully selected q \(1.070\times 10^{-5}\) \(8.673\times 10^{-7}\) \(9.127\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.254\times 10^{-5}\)
Acoust fully selected q \(3.323\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.010\times 10^{-6}\) \(2.951\times 10^{-5}\) \(3.741\times 10^{-5}\)
SprAlb85 fully selected q \(6.668\times 10^{-6}\) \(5.045\times 10^{-7}\) \(5.749\times 10^{-6}\) \(7.734\times 10^{-6}\)
FallAlb85 fully selected q \(1.128\times 10^{-5}\) \(1.312\times 10^{-6}\) \(8.983\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.417\times 10^{-5}\)
SprBig fully selected q \(3.653\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.732\times 10^{-6}\) \(2.834\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.709\times 10^{-5}\)
FallBig fully selected q \(4.584\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.843\times 10^{-6}\) \(3.421\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.142\times 10^{-5}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 1 \(4.242\times 10^{-4}\) \(9.786\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.699\times 10^{-4}\) \(6.666\times 10^{-4}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 2 \(0.091\) \(0.015\) \(0.065\) \(0.126\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 3 \(0.334\) \(0.051\) \(0.242\) \(0.440\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 4 \(0.431\) \(0.062\) \(0.316\) \(0.554\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 5 \(0.531\) \(0.068\) \(0.399\) \(0.659\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 6 \(0.717\) \(0.072\) \(0.560\) \(0.835\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 1 \(0.038\) \(0.007\) \(0.027\) \(0.053\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 2 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 3 \(0.219\) \(0.036\) \(0.156\) \(0.298\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 4 \(0.090\) \(0.021\) \(0.057\) \(0.140\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 5 \(0.061\) \(0.017\) \(0.035\) \(0.103\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 6 \(0.058\) \(0.018\) \(0.031\) \(0.105\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 7 \(0.056\) \(0.019\) \(0.028\) \(0.108\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 8+ \(0.040\) \(0.014\) \(0.020\) \(0.080\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 3 \(0.106\) \(0.039\) \(0.051\) \(0.209\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 2 \(0.314\) \(0.049\) \(0.227\) \(0.416\)
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 6: FallAlb85 \(a_{50}\) \(2.844\) \(0.154\) \(2.549\) \(3.153\)
Block 6: FallAlb85 1/slope (increasing) \(0.374\) \(0.045\) \(0.295\) \(0.473\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 2 \(0.299\) \(0.072\) \(0.179\) \(0.455\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 3 \(0.938\) \(0.167\) \(0.051\) \(1.000\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 8: FallBig \(a_{50}\) \(3.208\) \(0.209\) \(2.809\) \(3.624\)
Block 8: FallBig 1/slope (increasing) \(0.432\) \(0.059\) \(0.331\) \(0.563\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(16.794\) \(1.647\) \(13.858\) \(20.353\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.882\) \(0.025\) \(0.824\) \(0.922\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(29.608\) \(2.732\) \(24.710\) \(35.476\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.847\) \(0.031\) \(0.776\) \(0.898\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(15.927\) \(3.591\) \(10.237\) \(24.777\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.737\) \(0.129\) \(0.432\) \(0.912\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(21.782\) \(2.555\) \(17.307\) \(27.413\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.829\) \(0.044\) \(0.724\) \(0.900\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(21.592\) \(2.802\) \(16.744\) \(27.844\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.899\) \(0.028\) \(0.828\) \(0.942\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(17.913\) \(2.691\) \(13.345\) \(24.045\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.767\) \(0.079\) \(0.582\) \(0.887\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(24.014\) \(3.866\) \(17.516\) \(32.923\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.874\) \(0.045\) \(0.757\) \(0.939\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW Ecov\(_1\) \(4.498\) \(0.073\) \(4.354\) \(4.642\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW \(\sigma\) \(0.037\) \(0.014\) \(0.018\) \(0.079\)
Ecov: LarvalTempDuration obs. sd. \(0.156\) \(0.019\) \(0.123\) \(0.197\)

Abundance at age

Abundance at age (1000s) for stock 1 in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 3856670 1828534 904774 961130 167613 66479 13394 6204
1988 4979728 2679014 840621 484614 510688 84983 30309 7611
1989 5557085 3436500 1034995 434048 253966 256820 38481 14646
1990 6528947 3842282 1391965 532620 224256 125172 113034 19707
1991 6329260 4539857 1829996 777421 297263 120653 61791 57491
1992 4389789 4429121 2524990 1001171 408787 147317 53089 43847
1993 4282377 3068306 2398326 1397052 537437 208152 67289 37573
1994 3641785 2988878 1623254 1402103 811604 302289 108849 49126
1995 8455025 2545487 1652360 978326 841061 473983 166153 79229
1996 4115140 5928484 1507704 953595 545764 447174 229044 102582
1997 4258163 2891730 3697121 858838 517212 279446 205090 128673
1998 3234991 2986769 1720268 2095437 467159 266425 129360 131397
1999 8727123 2262416 1647317 968676 1147478 243611 125627 105623
2000 3098657 6112566 1290238 910971 514146 574584 108641 86540
2001 2393368 2178962 3909609 759000 513334 275710 280373 82531
2002 4466602 1677448 1278258 2268740 427408 276274 135480 155315
2003 3808760 3133650 1016574 764915 1322760 239791 143503 134440
2004 2599886 2676972 1980085 598879 432947 713702 118021 119002
2005 1707697 1818902 1498414 1141862 337632 233914 352946 102569
2006 4600354 1196166 1046212 852664 628784 176906 110897 185533
2007 1915218 3219789 668206 572925 448534 311699 77863 109036
2008 3471197 1337135 1681127 358250 296974 219073 134682 67143
2009 9104230 2436087 797979 912745 183781 142202 91856 69175
2010 1826627 6404647 1514214 399791 416666 75950 48796 41659
2011 1941380 1283889 3971229 821488 203280 196934 31260 30179
2012 5788374 1365218 808970 2187615 424986 98087 83326 21294
2013 1201616 4076747 893205 443966 1117383 201443 40476 34969
2014 1401936 845519 2592726 479745 221557 515296 80147 23986
2015 610823 986619 546826 1470171 256687 111329 230186 38899
2016 252995 430068 644661 308338 779054 127373 48882 98094
2017 1335654 177205 244674 351968 160938 382102 55235 52922
2018 626184 935723 101157 132614 181786 77894 162731 37953
2019 1247843 435593 426983 45317 55466 68461 23747 44380
2020 1063913 864441 187696 232483 24946 29486 33332 29126
2021 912726 745323 507592 114749 140421 14648 16303 31541
2022 1367527 638776 432490 327575 74735 90618 9206 28927
2023 2414668 960237 406621 290386 220823 50100 59830 24624

Fishing mortality at age by region

Total fishing mortality at age in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.014 0.427 0.274 0.282 0.329 0.435 0.598 0.592
1988 0.021 0.601 0.311 0.296 0.337 0.442 0.603 0.594
1989 0.019 0.554 0.314 0.310 0.358 0.471 0.644 0.636
1990 0.013 0.392 0.232 0.233 0.270 0.356 0.488 0.482
1991 0.007 0.237 0.253 0.293 0.352 0.471 0.652 0.649
1992 0.008 0.263 0.242 0.272 0.325 0.434 0.599 0.596
1993 0.010 0.287 0.187 0.193 0.225 0.298 0.410 0.406
1994 0.008 0.243 0.156 0.161 0.188 0.248 0.341 0.338
1995 0.005 0.174 0.200 0.234 0.282 0.377 0.523 0.521
1996 0.003 0.122 0.213 0.262 0.319 0.429 0.597 0.596
1997 0.005 0.169 0.218 0.259 0.313 0.420 0.583 0.581
1998 0.008 0.245 0.224 0.252 0.301 0.402 0.555 0.552
1999 0.006 0.212 0.242 0.283 0.342 0.458 0.634 0.632
2000 0.002 0.097 0.181 0.224 0.273 0.368 0.511 0.510
2001 0.005 0.183 0.194 0.224 0.270 0.361 0.499 0.497
2002 0.004 0.151 0.163 0.190 0.228 0.305 0.422 0.421
2003 0.003 0.109 0.179 0.219 0.267 0.359 0.499 0.498
2004 0.007 0.230 0.200 0.223 0.266 0.354 0.489 0.486
2005 0.006 0.203 0.214 0.247 0.296 0.396 0.549 0.546
2006 0.007 0.232 0.252 0.292 0.352 0.471 0.652 0.649
2007 0.009 0.300 0.273 0.307 0.367 0.489 0.676 0.672
2008 0.004 0.166 0.261 0.317 0.386 0.519 0.721 0.720
2009 0.002 0.125 0.341 0.434 0.534 0.720 1.002 1.002
2010 0.003 0.128 0.262 0.326 0.399 0.538 0.748 0.747
2011 0.002 0.112 0.246 0.309 0.379 0.510 0.710 0.709
2012 0.001 0.074 0.250 0.322 0.397 0.535 0.746 0.746
2013 0.001 0.103 0.272 0.345 0.424 0.572 0.796 0.796
2014 0.001 0.086 0.217 0.275 0.338 0.456 0.635 0.634
2015 0.001 0.076 0.223 0.285 0.351 0.473 0.659 0.659
2016 0.006 0.214 0.255 0.300 0.362 0.486 0.673 0.671
2017 0.006 0.211 0.262 0.311 0.376 0.504 0.698 0.696
2018 0.013 0.435 0.453 0.522 0.627 0.838 1.160 1.155
2019 0.017 0.492 0.258 0.247 0.282 0.370 0.504 0.497
2020 0.006 0.182 0.142 0.154 0.182 0.243 0.334 0.332
2021 0.007 0.194 0.088 0.079 0.088 0.114 0.155 0.152
2022 0.004 0.102 0.048 0.044 0.050 0.065 0.089 0.087
2023 0.001 0.037 0.066 0.081 0.099 0.133 0.186 0.185

Fishing mortality at age by fleet

Total fishing mortality at age in Mobile.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0 0.053 0.192 0.249 0.306 0.414 0.577 0.577
1988 0 0.052 0.191 0.247 0.304 0.410 0.572 0.572
1989 0 0.056 0.205 0.265 0.327 0.442 0.616 0.616
1990 0 0.043 0.156 0.202 0.249 0.336 0.468 0.468
1991 0 0.059 0.214 0.277 0.341 0.461 0.642 0.642
1992 0 0.054 0.196 0.253 0.312 0.421 0.588 0.588
1993 0 0.036 0.132 0.170 0.210 0.284 0.396 0.396
1994 0 0.030 0.110 0.142 0.175 0.236 0.329 0.329
1995 0 0.047 0.172 0.222 0.274 0.370 0.516 0.516
1996 0 0.054 0.198 0.256 0.315 0.426 0.593 0.593
1997 0 0.053 0.192 0.248 0.306 0.413 0.576 0.576
1998 0 0.050 0.182 0.235 0.289 0.390 0.544 0.544
1999 0 0.057 0.209 0.269 0.332 0.449 0.625 0.625
2000 0 0.046 0.170 0.219 0.270 0.365 0.508 0.508
2001 0 0.045 0.164 0.212 0.261 0.352 0.491 0.491
2002 0 0.038 0.139 0.179 0.221 0.298 0.416 0.416
2003 0 0.045 0.165 0.213 0.263 0.355 0.495 0.495
2004 0 0.044 0.160 0.206 0.254 0.343 0.479 0.479
2005 0 0.049 0.180 0.233 0.287 0.387 0.540 0.540
2006 0 0.059 0.214 0.277 0.341 0.461 0.642 0.642
2007 0 0.060 0.221 0.285 0.352 0.475 0.663 0.663
2008 0 0.065 0.239 0.308 0.380 0.513 0.716 0.716
2009 0 0.091 0.334 0.431 0.532 0.718 1.000 1.000
2010 0 0.068 0.248 0.321 0.396 0.534 0.745 0.745
2011 0 0.065 0.236 0.305 0.376 0.507 0.707 0.707
2012 0 0.068 0.249 0.321 0.396 0.535 0.746 0.746
2013 0 0.072 0.265 0.342 0.422 0.570 0.794 0.794
2014 0 0.058 0.211 0.273 0.336 0.454 0.633 0.633
2015 0 0.060 0.220 0.284 0.350 0.472 0.658 0.658
2016 0 0.061 0.222 0.286 0.353 0.477 0.664 0.664
2017 0 0.063 0.230 0.297 0.367 0.495 0.690 0.690
2018 0 0.104 0.381 0.492 0.607 0.819 1.141 1.141
2019 0 0.044 0.160 0.206 0.255 0.344 0.479 0.479
2020 0 0.030 0.109 0.140 0.173 0.234 0.326 0.326
2021 0 0.013 0.048 0.062 0.077 0.104 0.145 0.145
2022 0 0.008 0.028 0.036 0.044 0.060 0.083 0.083
2023 0 0.017 0.062 0.079 0.098 0.132 0.184 0.184
Total fishing mortality at age in Fixed.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.014 0.375 0.082 0.034 0.023 0.022 0.021 0.015
1988 0.021 0.549 0.120 0.050 0.033 0.032 0.031 0.022
1989 0.019 0.498 0.109 0.045 0.030 0.029 0.028 0.020
1990 0.013 0.349 0.076 0.032 0.021 0.020 0.020 0.014
1991 0.007 0.178 0.039 0.016 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
1992 0.008 0.210 0.046 0.019 0.013 0.012 0.012 0.008
1993 0.009 0.251 0.055 0.023 0.015 0.015 0.014 0.010
1994 0.008 0.213 0.047 0.019 0.013 0.012 0.012 0.009
1995 0.005 0.127 0.028 0.011 0.008 0.007 0.007 0.005
1996 0.003 0.068 0.015 0.006 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003
1997 0.004 0.117 0.026 0.011 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.005
1998 0.007 0.195 0.043 0.018 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.008
1999 0.006 0.155 0.034 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2000 0.002 0.051 0.011 0.005 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
2001 0.005 0.139 0.030 0.013 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.006
2002 0.004 0.113 0.025 0.010 0.007 0.007 0.006 0.005
2003 0.002 0.064 0.014 0.006 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003
2004 0.007 0.187 0.041 0.017 0.011 0.011 0.010 0.008
2005 0.006 0.154 0.034 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2006 0.007 0.174 0.038 0.016 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
2007 0.009 0.239 0.052 0.022 0.015 0.014 0.013 0.010
2008 0.004 0.101 0.022 0.009 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.004
2009 0.001 0.034 0.008 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001
2010 0.002 0.060 0.013 0.005 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.002
2011 0.002 0.047 0.010 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
2012 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2013 0.001 0.030 0.007 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001
2014 0.001 0.028 0.006 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001
2015 0.001 0.016 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2016 0.006 0.153 0.034 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2017 0.006 0.148 0.032 0.013 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.006
2018 0.012 0.330 0.072 0.030 0.020 0.019 0.019 0.013
2019 0.017 0.448 0.098 0.040 0.027 0.026 0.025 0.018
2020 0.006 0.153 0.033 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2021 0.007 0.181 0.040 0.016 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
2022 0.004 0.094 0.021 0.008 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.004
2023 0.001 0.021 0.005 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001